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Stadium Background

Itabuna U20 vs Grapiuna U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Itabuna U20
40%
Draws
29%
Grapiuna U20
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grapiuna U20 lately — more wins on the board than Itabuna U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Itabuna U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna U20 Grapiuna U20
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Baiano U20
Itabuna U20 vs Grapiuna U20
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Baiano U20
Grapiuna U20 vs Itabuna U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna U20 32 / 100
Grapiuna U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna U20 Grapiuna U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Itabuna U20 scored in 91% of their last 22 outings.

Grapiuna U20 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Grapiuna U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grapiuna U20
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna U20

(Home)
31 May
Bahia U20
4 : 1
Itabuna U20
25 May
Itabuna U20
1 : 2
Bahia U20
18 May
Jequie U20
0 : 1
Itabuna U20
11 May
Itabuna U20
0 : 2
Conquista FC U20
04 May
Barcelona FC U20
1 : 1
Itabuna U20
Page 1 of 5

Grapiuna U20

(Away)
13 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Grapiuna U20
06 Jun
Grapiuna U20
1 : 2
Vitoria U20
03 Jun
Grapiuna U20
2 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
30 May
Serrano U20
0 : 0
Grapiuna U20
23 May
Barcelona FC U20
1 : 0
Grapiuna U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela De Marco U201090119:727
2Vitoria U201061330:919
3Jacobina U201043313:815
4Camacariense U201025314:1611
5SSA U20102447:1610
6Leonico U20100196:331
Promotion - Baiano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia U201293031:1030
2Jacuipense U201282223:1026
3Juazeirense U201253423:2018
4Bahia de Feira U201252522:1717
5Catuense U201250717:2415
6Ypiranga U20122378:159
7Alagoinhas U2012111010:384
Promotion - Baiano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Conquista FC U201062217:1320
2Vitoria da Conquista U201052316:1017
3Itabuna U201044211:1016
4Jequie U201033411:1112
5Grapiuna U20102359:129
6Barcelona FC U201022610:188
Promotion - Baiano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams