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Itabuna vs Esporte Clube Pocoes

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

Itabuna in this Baiano 2 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Itabuna
6%
Draws
4%
Esporte Clube Pocoes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Itabuna have won more games recently than Esporte Clube Pocoes.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Itabuna taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%
Esporte Clube Pocoes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna Esporte Clube Pocoes
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2011 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Esporte Clube Pocoes
2:0
Apr 21, 2011 Baiano 2
Esporte Clube Pocoes vs Itabuna
2:2
Apr 8, 2009 Baiano
Itabuna vs Esporte Clube Pocoes
1:2
Jan 21, 2009 Baiano
Esporte Clube Pocoes vs Itabuna
3:4
Mar 1, 2008 Baiano
Itabuna vs Esporte Clube Pocoes
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 85 / 100
Esporte Clube Pocoes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna Esporte Clube Pocoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporte Clube Pocoes has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Itabuna scored in 68% of their last 38 outings.

Itabuna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna

(Home)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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Esporte Clube Pocoes

(Away)
05 Jun
Esporte Clube Pocoes
1 : 2
Jacuipense
21 May
Itabuna
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Pocoes
15 May
Esporte Clube Pocoes
3 : 1
Guanambi AC
08 May
Jequie
2 : 1
Esporte Clube Pocoes
01 May
Esporte Clube Pocoes
0 : 0
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juazeirense861116:719
2EC Ypiranga860218:1018
3Galicia841316:1113
4Botafogo BA82159:207
5Camacariense80178:191
Promotion - Baiano 2 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabuna842218:1114
2Jequie83417:613
3Jacuipense840412:1012
4Guanambi AC832310:1411
5Esporte Clube Pocoes81257:135
Promotion - Baiano 2 2011 (Play Offs)