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Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
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AI Match Summary

Itabuna in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Itabuna
35%
Draws
38%
Fluminense de Feira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fluminense de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Fluminense de Feira have won more games recently than Itabuna.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense de Feira taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Itabuna have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 18%
Fluminense de Feira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna Fluminense de Feira
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.27 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira
1:0
Jul 4, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira
3:0
Jun 7, 2015 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira
3:1
Mar 30, 2014 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira
2:0
Feb 29, 2012 Baiano
Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 23 / 100
Fluminense de Feira 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna Fluminense de Feira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense de Feira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabuna's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Itabuna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense de Feira let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS Fluminense de Feira
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna

(Home)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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Fluminense de Feira

(Away)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
19 Jul
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
Feira FC
12 Jul
Feira FC
0 : 0
Fluminense de Feira
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)