Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2014

Ipitanga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itabuna play Ipitanga in the Baiano 2 2014. Itabuna are favorites here. Recently, Itabuna averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1 conceded. Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, Itabuna won 3, Ipitanga won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Itabuna and 0.81 for Ipitanga. This points to a Itabuna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Itabuna

15%

Draws

14%

Ipitanga

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Itabuna picked up more points recently compared to Ipitanga.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Itabuna Clean Sheet 26%

Ipitanga Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Itabuna	Ipitanga
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	17	3
Draws	10	3
Losses	7	24
Goals Scored	1.32	0.8
Goals Conceded	1	2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2014 Baiano 2

Itabuna vs Ipitanga

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Apr 4, 2010 Baiano

Itabuna vs Ipitanga

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Mar 21, 2010 Baiano

Ipitanga vs Itabuna

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Mar 29, 2009 Baiano

Ipitanga vs Itabuna

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Feb 1, 2009 Baiano

Itabuna vs Ipitanga

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 69 / 100

Ipitanga 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Itabuna Ipitanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (1)

Secondary Pick Itabuna & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Itabuna attacking → ← attacking Ipitanga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabuna scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Ipitanga let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Itabuna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ipitanga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 12

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	9	7	2	0	19:1	23
2	Jacobina	9	6	2	1	15:4	20
3	CE Flamengo	9	6	2	1	22:12	20
4	Alagoinhas	9	5	1	3	18:12	16
5	Itabuna	9	4	0	5	13:11	12
6	Fluminense de Feira	9	3	3	3	8:10	12
7	EC Ypiranga	9	3	2	4	14:12	11
8	Jequie	9	3	2	4	12:13	11
9	Leonico	9	0	1	8	7:22	1
10	Ipitanga	9	0	1	8	4:35	1