Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabuna vs Ipitanga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2014 game between Itabuna and Ipitanga finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Itabuna
20%
Draws
0%
Ipitanga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Itabuna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Itabuna a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna Ipitanga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.32 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2014 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Ipitanga
3:0
Apr 4, 2010 Baiano
Itabuna vs Ipitanga
3:0
Mar 21, 2010 Baiano
Ipitanga vs Itabuna
4:1
Mar 29, 2009 Baiano
Ipitanga vs Itabuna
3:2
Feb 1, 2009 Baiano
Itabuna vs Ipitanga
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 85 / 100
Ipitanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna Ipitanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipitanga has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Away concern: Ipitanga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Itabuna's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna

(Home)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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Ipitanga

(Away)
10 May
Itabuna
3 : 0
Ipitanga
07 May
Ipitanga
0 : 5
Colo Colo
04 May
CE Flamengo
6 : 0
Ipitanga
27 Apr
Jequie
3 : 0
Ipitanga
13 Apr
EC Ypiranga
6 : 0
Ipitanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)