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Itabuna vs Jequie

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Itabuna
35%
Draws
32%
Jequie
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabuna come out ahead of Jequie on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Itabuna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%
Jequie Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna Jequie
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2024 Baiano
Jequie vs Itabuna
2:1
Jul 24, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
0:1
Jul 16, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Jequie
1:1
Jun 26, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
1:3
Apr 19, 2015 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 32 / 100
Jequie 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna Jequie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Itabuna scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Jequie let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Itabuna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS Jequie
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna

(Home)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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Jequie

(Away)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Itabuna 2
Jequie 1
Juazeiro 2
Jacobinense 2
Final
Itabuna 4
Jacobinense 3