Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabuna vs Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2015
Itabuna Logo

Itabuna

3 - 1
FT
Juazeiro Logo

Juazeiro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2015 game between Itabuna and Juazeiro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Itabuna
35%
Draws
25%
Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabuna come out ahead of Juazeiro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Itabuna a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna Juazeiro
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Juazeiro
0:0
May 17, 2015 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Juazeiro
3:1
Mar 4, 2012 Baiano
Juazeiro vs Itabuna
1:0
Feb 23, 2012 Baiano
Itabuna vs Juazeiro
0:1
Mar 22, 2008 Baiano
Itabuna vs Juazeiro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 40 / 100
Juazeiro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Itabuna scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Juazeiro conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Itabuna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna

(Home)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 8

Juazeiro

(Away)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
2 CE Flamengo 8 4 3 1 13:6 15
3 Juazeiro 8 4 2 2 13:13 14
4 Itabuna 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
5 EC Ypiranga 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
6 Grapiuna 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
7 Botafogo BA 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
8 Alagoinhas 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
9 Jequie 8 1 2 5 10:21 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2015 (Play Offs)