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Itacoatiara vs Iranduba

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
de Oliveira R.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Josivaldo
47' Event
Breno

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amazonense 2022 game between Itacoatiara and Iranduba finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Itacoatiara
35%
Draws
32%
Iranduba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Itacoatiara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Itacoatiara's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Amazonense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 10%
Iranduba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara Iranduba
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2022 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Iranduba
2:2
Apr 1, 2021 Amazonense
Iranduba vs Itacoatiara
2:3
Mar 27, 2021 Amazonense
Iranduba vs Itacoatiara
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Josivaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Iranduba Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitalo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 74 / 100
Iranduba 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara Iranduba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itacoatiara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iranduba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Iranduba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Itacoatiara scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
Page 1 of 7

Iranduba

(Away)
25 Feb
Operario Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Iranduba
18 Feb
Iranduba
0 : 1
Manaus FC
15 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 2
Iranduba
12 Feb
Iranduba
0 : 7
Amazonas
09 Feb
Iranduba
0 : 1
Parintins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Princesa do Solimoes 11 7 4 0 27:5 25
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 11 7 2 2 21:5 23
3 Manaus FC 11 6 4 1 27:9 22
4 Fast Clube 11 5 5 1 18:7 20
5 Amazonas 11 5 3 3 17:8 18
6 Manauara 11 5 3 3 15:11 18
7 Iranduba 11 4 5 2 15:9 17
8 Operario Esporte Clube 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
9 Sao Raimundo AM 11 3 1 7 23:16 10
10 Cliper 11 2 1 8 13:43 7
11 Penarol 11 1 2 8 5:27 5
12 Itacoatiara 11 0 2 9 4:44 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amazonense 2022 (Play Offs)