Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itacoatiara vs Manauara

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Rafael Ibiapino
75' Event
Machando L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Itacoatiara
30%
Draws
58%
Manauara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manauara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / High Confidence
  • Manauara have won more games recently than Itacoatiara.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Manauara taking it.
  • Manauara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Manauara here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 15%
Manauara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara Manauara
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 14
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Amazonense
Manauara vs Itacoatiara
3:2
Jan 31, 2026 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Manauara
1:1
Feb 14, 2022 Amazonense
Manauara vs Itacoatiara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Machando L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Manauara Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Ibiapino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 23 / 100
Manauara 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara Manauara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Itacoatiara's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Manauara conceded in 53% of 38 recent games.

Itacoatiara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS Manauara
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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Manauara

(Away)
12 Jul
Manauara
1 : 3
Goiatuba EC
04 Jul
Goiatuba EC
0 : 1
Manauara
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Amazonas -
TBD -
Itacoatiara 1
Manauara 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
TBD -
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Manaus FC 0
Semi-finals
Amazonas 2
Itacoatiara 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Final
Amazonas 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0