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Itacoatiara vs Parintins

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parintins in this Amazonense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parintins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Itacoatiara
30%
Draws
58%
Parintins
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parintins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parintins lately — more wins on the board than Itacoatiara.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Amazonense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 20%
Parintins Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara Parintins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.7 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Parintins
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 32 / 100
Parintins 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara Parintins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parintins Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parintins's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Itacoatiara found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Itacoatiara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS Parintins
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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Parintins

(Away)
14 Mar
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 : 0
Parintins
07 Mar
Manaus FC
1 : 2
Parintins
04 Mar
Parintins
2 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
01 Mar
Parintins
0 : 0
Amazonas
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Parintins 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Amazonas 3 0 3 0 0:0 3
4 Itacoatiara 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Amazonense (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manaus FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Princesa do Solimoes 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Sao Raimundo AM 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Amazonense (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (Second stage - Play Offs)