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Itacoatiara vs Sao Raimundo AM

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Dioguinho
89' Event
Rayo

AI Match Summary

Itacoatiara in this Amazonense matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itacoatiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Itacoatiara
30%
Draws
23%
Sao Raimundo AM
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itacoatiara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Raimundo AM lately — more wins on the board than Itacoatiara.
  • Itacoatiara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Amazonense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Raimundo AM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara Sao Raimundo AM
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Sao Raimundo AM
2:0
Feb 27, 2022 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Sao Raimundo AM
0:7
Mar 13, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Sao Raimundo AM
2:2
Mar 6, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Sao Raimundo AM
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Dioguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rayo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Sao Raimundo AM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 85 / 100
Sao Raimundo AM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara Sao Raimundo AM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itacoatiara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Sao Raimundo AM has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Sao Raimundo AM has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Itacoatiara scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS Sao Raimundo AM
1.63 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.57
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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Sao Raimundo AM

(Away)
25 Feb
Manaus FC
3 : 0
Sao Raimundo AM
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo AM
1 : 2
Princesa do Solimoes
12 Feb
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 0
Sao Raimundo AM
28 Jan
Sao Raimundo AM
2 : 2
Manauara
25 Jan
Sao Raimundo AM
0 : 3
Parintins
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonas 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
3 Manauara 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Parintins 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Princesa do Solimoes 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Manaus FC 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
4 Sao Raimundo AM 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)