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Itacoatiara W vs Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Silva B.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 game between Itacoatiara W and Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itacoatiara W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Itacoatiara W
33%
Draws
27%
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Itacoatiara W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W come out ahead of Itacoatiara W on wins alone.
  • Itacoatiara W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W vs Itacoatiara W
1:0
May 18, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 38 / 100
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Itacoatiara W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Difficult form: Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara W

(Home)
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
23 May
Itacoatiara W
1 : 2
Ceara W
20 May
Itacoatiara W
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC W
16 May
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Itacoatiara W
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Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W

(Away)
31 May
Minas Brasilia W
3 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
19 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
2 : 1
Ceara W
16 May
Vasco W
4 : 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
13 May
Coritiba W
3 : 1
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos W761017:219
2Botafogo RJ W751113:516
3Atletico-MG W732215:411
4Minas Brasilia W73228:1011
5Taubate W73138:910
6Vasco W721410:97
7Avai Kindermann W720511:126
8Sao Jose W70071:320
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women (Main)
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza W743020:415
2Vitoria W742111:614
3Mixto W734015:813
4Acao W732211:711
5Itacoatiara W722310:168
6Paysandu PA W71339:146
7Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W71339:176
8Remo W70166:191
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women (Main)
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 (Play Offs)