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Itacoatiara W vs Manaus W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2025
Sat, Aug 23, 2025
0 - 3
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
da Costa dos Santos L.
85' Event
Goncalves L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Itacoatiara W host Manaus W in the Amazonense Women 2025. This has Manaus W written all over it on paper. Itacoatiara W have averaged 1.48 scored and 3.13 conceded recently, against Manaus W's 3.78 scored and 2.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Itacoatiara W have won 0 to Manaus W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.98 vs 2.52, favoring Manaus W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Itacoatiara W
20%
Draws
73%
Manaus W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manaus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manaus W come out ahead of Itacoatiara W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Manaus W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amazonense Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%
Manaus W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Manaus W
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 1.48 3.78
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 2.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Amazonense Women
Itacoatiara W vs Manaus W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer da Costa dos Santos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Manaus W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.29
Avg xA / game 1.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
Manaus W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Manaus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manaus W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itacoatiara W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Manaus W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Itacoatiara W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Manaus W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.67
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 7

Manaus W

(Away)
14 Sept
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Manaus W
23 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 3
Manaus W
19 Aug
Manaus W
5 : 1
Amazonas Legis W
14 Aug
Manaus W
13 : 1
Manicore W
10 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 1
Manaus W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol W 5 5 0 0 24:1 15
2 Manaus W 5 3 1 1 22:4 10
3 Taruma W 5 2 2 1 15:13 8
4 Itacoatiara W 5 2 0 3 21:12 6
5 Amazonas Legis W 5 0 1 4 7:36 1
6 Manicore W 5 0 2 3 7:30 -2
Promotion - Amazonense Women 2025 (Play Offs)