Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itacoatiara W vs Vila Nova FC W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bruninha
39' Event
Amanda Gomes
50' Event
Santos R.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Itacoatiara W and Vila Nova FC W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itacoatiara W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Itacoatiara W
30%
Draws
58%
Vila Nova FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vila Nova FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vila Nova FC W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Vila Nova FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.83
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Vila Nova FC W
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Vila Nova FC W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
Vila Nova FC W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Vila Nova FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Itacoatiara W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Vila Nova FC W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Itacoatiara W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Vila Nova FC W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 6

Vila Nova FC W

(Away)
19 Sept
Alianca GO W
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
12 Sept
Anapolina W
2 : 2
Vila Nova FC W
05 Sept
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 0
Flugoiania W
08 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)