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Itacoatiara W vs Vila Nova FC W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bruninha
39' Event
Amanda Gomes
50' Event
Santos R.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Itacoatiara W and Vila Nova FC W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itacoatiara W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Itacoatiara W
28%
Draws
22%
Vila Nova FC W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Itacoatiara W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Itacoatiara W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 16%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Vila Nova FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Vila Nova FC W
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Vila Nova FC W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 48 / 100
Vila Nova FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Vila Nova FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vila Nova FC W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Itacoatiara W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Vila Nova FC W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Vila Nova FC W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1245312:1017
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Ceara W1241712:1813
12Doce Mel W123459:1813
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284