Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U16 vs South Korea U16

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fugazzola M.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Jung Ha-won
49' Event
Fugazzola M.

AI Match Summary

Italy U16 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy U16
6%
Draws
4%
South Korea U16
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea U16 have won more games recently than Italy U16.
  • Italy U16 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 20%
South Korea U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U16 South Korea U16
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs South Korea U16
3:2
Jul 19, 1987 World Cup U17
Italy U16 vs South Korea U16
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fugazzola M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

South Korea U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Ha-won
1 Goals
Assists Leader An Joo-wan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U16 85 / 100
South Korea U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U16 South Korea U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U16 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

South Korea U16's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Italy U16 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U16 VS South Korea U16
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 50%