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World

Friendly International Women 2024

Serbia U16 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Italy U16 W play Serbia U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. Italy U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Italy U16 W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Serbia U16 W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U16 W won 1, Serbia U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Italy U16 W and 1.56 for Serbia U16 W. This points to a Italy U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Italy U16 W

15%

Draws

28%

Serbia U16 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Italy U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Serbia U16 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Italy U16 W Clean Sheet 15%

Serbia U16 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Italy U16 W	Serbia U16 W
Matches Played	17	6
Wins	8	2
Draws	2	0
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	1.47	1
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 Friendly International Women

Italy U16 W vs Serbia U16 W

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Agostino G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stendardi A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Serbia U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Todorovic L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U16 W 54 / 100

Serbia U16 W 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Italy U16 W Serbia U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U16 W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Italy U16 W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Italy U16 W attacking → ← attacking Serbia U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U16 W scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Serbia U16 W let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Italy U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Serbia U16 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 6

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33