Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 vs San Marino U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2025 Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, Acquaviva
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Reggiani L.
Assist: Luongo A.
33' Event
Campaniello T.
45'
Prisco V.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2025 game between Italy U17 and San Marino U17 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy U17
6%
Draws
4%
San Marino U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Italy U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Italy U17 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 20%
San Marino U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 San Marino U17
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 28 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2024 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs San Marino U17
5:0
Oct 25, 2023 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs San Marino U17
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Campaniello T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reggiani L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Marino U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 85 / 100
San Marino U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 San Marino U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

San Marino U17 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Italy U17 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS San Marino U17
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
01 Jun
Denmark U17
3 : 3
Italy U17
29 May
Montenegro U17
0 : 3
Italy U17
26 May
Italy U17
1 : 0
France U17
Page 1 of 8

San Marino U17

(Away)
16 Apr
Andorra U17
3 : 1
San Marino U17
13 Apr
Wales U17
0 : 1
San Marino U17
10 Apr
San Marino U17
1 : 4
Georgia U17
03 Nov
San Marino U17
0 : 5
Bulgaria U17
31 Oct
Slovakia U17
2 : 0
San Marino U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U17330012:29
2Sweden U1732019:56
3Latvia U1731025:73
4Malta U1730031:130
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U17321013:27
2Slovenia U1732105:37
3Georgia U1731024:63
4Armenia U1730031:120
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U17321011:27
2Netherlands U17320112:36
3Albania U1731112:64
4Faroe Islands U1730030:140
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U1733007:39
2Ukraine U1732018:46
3Kosovo U1730127:101
4Kazakhstan U1730125:101
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U17330019:39
2Finland U17311111:74
3Bosnia & Herzegovina U17311110:64
4Liechtenstein U1730030:240
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Greece U1732108:27
2Hungary U1731206:25
3Romania U1730211:42
4Azerbaijan U1730121:81
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czech Republic U17321014:37
2Germany U17321015:57
3Belarus U1731025:123
4Andorra U1730031:150
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Ireland U1732017:56
2Ireland U1731116:54
3Lithuania U1731116:54
4Scotland U1731023:73
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U17330016:09
2Norway U1732017:106
3Wales U1731029:83
4San Marino U1730030:140
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland U1732109:27
2Israel U1731207:35
3Montenegro U1731114:44
4Moldova U1730030:110
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U1733009:09
2Slovakia U17320110:36
3Cyprus U1731028:53
4Gibraltar U1730030:190
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17321011:27
2Iceland U1732109:47
3North Macedonia U1731025:113
4Estonia U1730033:110
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia U1721103:14
2Turkey U1721102:14
3Bulgaria U1720020:30
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria U1721102:14
2Denmark U1721013:13
3Luxembourg U1720111:41
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)