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Stadium Background

Italy U17 W vs Bulgaria U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2025 Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Galli G.
21'
Bertero E.
26'
Ravnachka K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 Women 2025 game between Italy U17 W and Bulgaria U17 W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Bulgaria U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U17 W come out ahead of Bulgaria U17 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Italy U17 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Italy U17 W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Bulgaria U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 W Bulgaria U17 W
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Bulgaria U17 W
2:0
Jul 4, 2013 Euro U17 Women
Bulgaria U17 W vs Italy U17 W
0:10
Sep 20, 2010 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Bulgaria U17 W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galli G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bedini B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Bulgaria U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 W 85 / 100
Bulgaria U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 W Bulgaria U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 W's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Bulgaria U17 W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Italy U17 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 W VS Bulgaria U17 W
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.6
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 80%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland U17 W330013:19
2Portugal U17 W320116:66
3Wales U17 W31024:93
4Slovenia U17 W30031:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U17 W33005:29
2Belgium U17 W32016:26
3Turkey U17 W31023:53
4Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 W30030:50
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U17 W321011:27
2Czech Republic U17 W320112:46
3Netherlands U17 W311111:54
4Faroe Islands U17 W30030:230
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland U17 W33005:19
2Poland U17 W32017:26
3Iceland U17 W31023:33
4Northern Ireland U17 W30030:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U17 W32014:26
2France U17 W31203:15
3Croatia U17 W31113:34
4Bulgaria U17 W30120:41
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17 W321010:47
2Austria U17 W31208:45
3Denmark U17 W31114:64
4Ireland U17 W30033:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U17 W330014:09
2Finland U17 W32015:46
3Greece U17 W31023:63
4Belarus U17 W30030:120