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Italy U18 vs Albania U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Mediterranean Games
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Marinaj R.
55' Event
Casagrande T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mediterranean Games matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Italy U18
20%
Draws
29%
Albania U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Albania U21 have won more games recently than Italy U18.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Italy U18 taking it.
  • Regular Mediterranean Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 14%
Albania U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Albania U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Mediterranean Games
Italy U18 vs Albania U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Casagrande T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Albania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinaj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 35 / 100
Albania U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Albania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U18 scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Albania U21 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Albania U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
29 Sept
Italy U18
3 : 1
Denmark U18
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
Page 1 of 6

Albania U21

(Away)
26 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 0
Albania U21
24 Aug
Albania U21
3 : 1
Kosovo U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Morocco U20 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Turkey U20 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
4 North Macedonia U21 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Mediterranean Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria U21 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Italy U18 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Albania U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Kosovo U21 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Mediterranean Games (Play Offs)