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Italy U18 vs Greece U18

World World

Mediterranean Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rauti N.
31' Event
Merola D.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Nicolussi Caviglia H.

AI Match Summary

Italy U18 in this Mediterranean Games 2018 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Italy U18
20%
Draws
51%
Greece U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Greece U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Greece U18 at 1.63 per game, Italy U18 at 1.34.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Italy U18, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Greece U18 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Greece U18
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2022 Mediterranean Games
Italy U18 vs Greece U18
4:0
Jun 28, 2018 Mediterranean Games
Italy U18 vs Greece U18
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rauti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicolussi Caviglia H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Greece U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 32 / 100
Greece U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Greece U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Italy U18 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Greece U18 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Italy U18 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
Page 1 of 7

Greece U18

(Away)
17 Apr
Hungary U18
1 : 1
Greece U18
30 Jun
Portugal U18
0 : 2
Greece U18
28 Jun
Italy U18
4 : 0
Greece U18
26 Jun
Greece U18
1 : 2
Turkey U18
13 Jun
Iran U18
0 : 1
Greece U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Italy U18 3
Greece U18 0
Spain U18 2
Morocco U18 1
Final
Italy U18 2
Spain U18 3
Greece U18 0
Morocco U18 1