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Stadium Background

Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Italy U18 and Ukraine U18 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ukraine U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Italy U18
15%
Draws
37%
Ukraine U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U18 have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Ukraine U18 are scoring more at 1.56.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ukraine U18 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Ukraine U18 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Ukraine U18
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:1
Feb 17, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
2:2
Sep 25, 2013 Friendly International
Ukraine U18 vs Italy U18
2:1
Oct 20, 2011 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:3
Oct 18, 2011 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 31 / 100
Ukraine U18 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Ukraine U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U18 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ukraine U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Italy U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Ukraine U18
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
02 Oct
Saudi Arabia U18
0 : 2
Italy U18
29 Sept
Italy U18
3 : 1
Denmark U18
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
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Ukraine U18

(Away)
27 Sept
Ukraine U18
4 : 1
Austria U18
25 Sept
France U18
1 : 0
Ukraine U18
23 Sept
Japan U18
2 : 1
Ukraine U18
09 Jun
Turkey U18
0 : 1
Ukraine U18
06 Jun
Ukraine U18
1 : 1
Norway U18
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