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Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lyusin P.
21' Event
Fogliaro C.
45' Event
Tsymbalyuk M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Italy U18
35%
Draws
42%
Ukraine U18
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ukraine U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ukraine U18 lately — more wins on the board than Italy U18.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ukraine U18 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U18 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Ukraine U18
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.12 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:1
Feb 17, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
2:2
Sep 25, 2013 Friendly International
Ukraine U18 vs Italy U18
2:1
Oct 20, 2011 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:3
Oct 18, 2011 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogliaro C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ukraine U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyusin P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsymbalyuk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 32 / 100
Ukraine U18 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Ukraine U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U18 scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Ukraine U18 conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Italy U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Ukraine U18
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
19 Feb
Italy U18
0 : 1
Ukraine U18
17 Feb
Italy U18
2 : 2
Ukraine U18
14 Jan
Spain U18
1 : 0
Italy U18
09 Sept
Croatia U18
0 : 0
Italy U18
06 Sept
Italy U18
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U18
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Ukraine U18

(Away)
09 Jun
Turkey U18
0 : 1
Ukraine U18
06 Jun
Ukraine U18
1 : 1
Norway U18
04 Jun
Ukraine U18
0 : 0
Finland U18
19 Feb
Italy U18
0 : 1
Ukraine U18
17 Feb
Italy U18
2 : 2
Ukraine U18
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