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Italy U19 vs Albania U19

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 play Albania U19 in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Italy U19 averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Albania U19 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U19 won 4, Albania U19 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 7, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.46 for Italy U19 and 0.91 for Albania U19. This points to a Italy U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Italy U19
27%
Draws
24%
Albania U19
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Italy U19 picked up more points recently compared to Albania U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.46 vs 0.91 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 24%
Albania U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 Albania U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Albania U19
1:1
Aug 5, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Albania U19
4:1
Aug 9, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Albania U19
3:0
Aug 10, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Albania U19
3:0
Aug 13, 2021 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Albania U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maffessoli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Albania U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 49 / 100
Albania U19 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 Albania U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Italy U19 attacking → ← attacking Albania U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Albania U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Italy U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Albania U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 32
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.43
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43