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Italy U19 vs Serbia U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 The Oval
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 play Serbia U19 in the Euro U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Italy U19 averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Serbia U19 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U19 won 4, Serbia U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 29, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Italy U19 and 0.69 for Serbia U19. This points to a Italy U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Italy U19
17%
Draws
36%
Serbia U19
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U19 picked up more points recently compared to Serbia U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 28%
Serbia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 Serbia U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Serbia U19
2:0
Oct 14, 2023 Friendly International
Serbia U19 vs Italy U19
1:3
Oct 11, 2023 Friendly International
Serbia U19 vs Italy U19
5:4
Mar 26, 2019 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Italy U19
0:2
Oct 15, 2014 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Italy U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iddrissou J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Serbia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 48 / 100
Serbia U19 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 Serbia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Italy U19 attacking → ← attacking Serbia U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Serbia U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Italy U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Serbia U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 46
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U19330014:09
2Germany U1932018:76
3Denmark U1931026:73
4Wales U1930030:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ukraine U1933006:29
2Croatia U1931114:34
3Italy U1931112:14
4Serbia U1930031:70