Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U19 W vs Ukraine U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Soloviova U.
39'
Sub
Konovalova S. In: Kharchenko A.
Out: Konovalova S.
46'
Sub
Vitale E. In: Appiah K.
Out: Vitale E.

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 W in this Euro U19 Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy U19 W
6%
Draws
4%
Ukraine U19 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Italy U19 W have won more games recently than Ukraine U19 W.
  • Italy U19 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U19 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 68%
Ukraine U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 W Ukraine U19 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Ukraine U19 W
2:0
Feb 21, 2021 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Ukraine U19 W
0:0
Mar 27, 2010 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Ukraine U19 W
3:0
Sep 30, 2008 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Ukraine U19 W
5:0
Apr 26, 2008 Euro U19 Women
Ukraine U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Venturelli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferraresi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ukraine U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 W 95 / 100
Ukraine U19 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 W Ukraine U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U19 W's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ukraine U19 W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Italy U19 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 W VS Ukraine U19 W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland U19 W33007:19
2Wales U19 W32016:66
3England U19 W31027:53
4Latvia U19 W30032:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U19 W32107:07
2Greece U19 W32012:36
3Belgium U19 W31111:14
4Romania U19 W30030:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iceland U19 W32107:37
2Denmark U19 W32015:46
3Finland U19 W31113:34
4Serbia U19 W30030:50
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria U19 W32018:26
2Scotland U19 W320112:36
3Norway U19 W32015:36
4North Macedonia U19 W30030:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden U19 W32103:17
2Netherlands U19 W32018:36
3Italy U19 W31113:54
4Ukraine U19 W30030:50
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U19 W33009:39
2France U19 W31115:54
3Slovakia U19 W31025:73
4Ireland U19 W30123:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U19 W32106:07
2Portugal U19 W32104:07
3Northern Ireland U19 W30121:51
4Hungary U19 W30121:71