Sport Picks

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Italy U20 vs Mali U20

World World

World Cup U20 2019 Tychy City Stadium, Tychy
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kone I.
Own Goal
18'
Sissoko S.
21'
Diakite O.

AI Match Summary

Italy U20 in this World Cup U20 2019 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Italy U20
15%
Draws
76%
Mali U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Mali U20 haven't matched Italy U20's recent run of results.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Mali U20 taking it.
  • Italy U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Italy U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U20 Mali U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2019 World Cup U20
Italy U20 vs Mali U20
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinamonti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frattesi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mali U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 10 / 100
Mali U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U20 Mali U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U20 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Italy U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 VS Mali U20
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20

(Home)
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
17 Nov
Germany U20
5 : 0
Italy U20
14 Nov
Italy U20
1 : 2
Portugal U20
09 Oct
USA U20
3 : 0
Italy U20
04 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Italy U20
Page 1 of 6

Mali U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colombia U20 2
New Zealand U20 1
Ukraine U20 4
Panama U20 1
Italy U20 1
Poland U20 0
Argentina U20 2
Mali U20 3
France U20 2
USA U20 3
Uruguay U20 1
Ecuador U20 3
Japan U20 0
South Korea U20 1
Senegal U20 2
Nigeria U20 1
Quarter-finals
Colombia U20 0
Ukraine U20 1
Italy U20 4
Mali U20 2
USA U20 1
Ecuador U20 2
South Korea U20 4
Senegal U20 3
Semi-finals
Ukraine U20 1
Italy U20 0
Ecuador U20 0
South Korea U20 1
Final
Ukraine U20 3
South Korea U20 1
Italy U20 0
Ecuador U20 1