Sport Picks

Italy U20 W vs Japan U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World

World Cup Women U20 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz

Italy U20 W

1 - 1

Japan U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

55'

Sub

Gallo A. In: Bressan M.

Out: Gallo A.

59'

Fadda P.

(Penalty)

63'

Sub

Higuchi R. In: Matsunaga M.

Out: Higuchi R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Italy U20 W

30%

Draws

37%

Japan U20 W

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Japan U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Japan U20 W have won more games recently than Italy U20 W.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Japan U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Italy U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Italy U20 W	Japan U20 W
Matches Played	13	29
Wins	5	21
Draws	3	3
Losses	5	5
Goals Scored	1.38	3.17
Goals Conceded	1.69	0.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 World Cup Women U20

Italy U20 W vs Japan U20 W

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tago N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 W 30 / 100

Japan U20 W 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Italy U20 W Japan U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U20 W scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U20 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 W VS Japan U20 W

1.63 Goals Scored 4.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20 W

(Home)

26 Sept

Italy U20 W

1 : 2

Colombia U20 W

23 Sept

Italy U20 W

0 : 2

Spain U20 W

19 Sept

South Korea U20 W

1 : 3

Italy U20 W

16 Sept

Italy U20 W

2 : 1

China U20 W

12 Sept

Italy U20 W

1 : 1

Japan U20 W

Page 1 of 3

Japan U20 W

(Away)

17 Sept

North Korea U20 W

2 : 0

Japan U20 W

12 Sept

Italy U20 W

1 : 1

Japan U20 W

09 Sept

Japan U20 W

2 : 2

USA U20 W

06 Sept

Japan U20 W

2 : 1

New Zealand U20 W

09 Jun

England U20 W

0 : 1

Japan U20 W

Page 1 of 6