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Italy U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women U20 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sciabica M. In: Zamboni M.
Out: Sciabica M.
46'
Sub
March C. In: Duncan G.
Out: March C.
60'
Sub
Bennett L. In: Brazendale L.
Out: Bennett L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Italy U20 W
15%
Draws
0%
New Zealand U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Italy U20 W haven't matched New Zealand U20 W's recent run of results.
  • Italy U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • New Zealand U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Italy U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Italy U20 W Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U20 W New Zealand U20 W
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.38 3.53
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 World Cup Women U20
Italy U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ventriglia R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Appiah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

New Zealand U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 W 85 / 100
New Zealand U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U20 W New Zealand U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: New Zealand U20 W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Italy U20 W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Defensive concern: New Zealand U20 W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 W VS New Zealand U20 W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20 W

(Home)
26 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 2
Colombia U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 3
Italy U20 W
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 3

New Zealand U20 W

(Away)
12 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
0 : 9
USA U20 W
09 Sept
Italy U20 W
3 : 0
New Zealand U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
08 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 3
Ghana U20 W
06 Sept
Austria U20 W
3 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 England U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Tanzania U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Ecuador U20 W 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 USA U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:4 4
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Portugal U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Colombia U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 1 1 1 10:3 4
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 New Caledonia U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)