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Italy U20 W vs Portugal U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Gallo A.
90' Event
Costa D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Italy U20 W
30%
Draws
29%
Portugal U20 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U20 W lately — more wins on the board than Portugal U20 W.
  • Win probability leans Italy U20 W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U20 W Clean Sheet 18%
Portugal U20 W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U20 W Portugal U20 W
Matches Played 13 9
Wins 5 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.38 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Friendly International Women
Italy U20 W vs Portugal U20 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portugal U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 W 76 / 100
Portugal U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U20 W Portugal U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U20 W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Italy U20 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portugal U20 W has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 W VS Portugal U20 W
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20 W

(Home)
26 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 2
Colombia U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 3
Italy U20 W
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
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Portugal U20 W

(Away)
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
Portugal U20 W
3 : 0
Costa Rica U20 W
10 Sept
Colombia U20 W
0 : 0
Portugal U20 W
07 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
26 Aug
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Portugal U20 W
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