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Stadium Background

Italy U21 vs Albania U21

World World

Friendly International Stadio Comunale Omero Tognon, Fontanafredda
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Fikaj E. In: Kacurri M.
Out: Fikaj E.
37'
Shehu A.
46'
Sub
Torriani L. In: Mascardi D.
Out: Torriani L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Italy U21 and Albania U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Italy U21
20%
Draws
24%
Albania U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Albania U21 haven't matched Italy U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Italy U21 a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Italy U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Albania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U21 Albania U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U21 vs Albania U21
1:0
Sep 11, 2018 Friendly International
Italy U21 vs Albania U21
3:1
Aug 10, 2016 Friendly International
Italy U21 vs Albania U21
0:0
Sep 11, 2007 Euro U21
Albania U21 vs Italy U21
0:1
Jun 1, 2007 Euro U21
Italy U21 vs Albania U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Albania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 85 / 100
Albania U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U21 Albania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U21 scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Albania U21 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Italy U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS Albania U21
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0
North Macedonia U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
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Albania U21

(Away)
26 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 0
Albania U21
24 Aug
Albania U21
3 : 1
Kosovo U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
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