Sport Picks

Italy U21 vs Armenia U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe

Euro U21 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona

Italy U21

5 - 1

Armenia U21

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Ndour C.

Penalty Missed

31'

Sargsyan H.

43'

Hakobyan M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Italy U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Italy U21

15%

Draws

Armenia U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Armenia U21 haven't matched Italy U21's recent run of results.
Model gives Italy U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Italy U21 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Italy U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Armenia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Italy U21	Armenia U21
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	18	0
Draws	6	4
Losses	4	25
Goals Scored	2.18	0.48
Goals Conceded	0.96	2.62
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Euro U21

Armenia U21 vs Italy U21

0:1

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Armenia U21

5:1

Nov 19, 2019 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Armenia U21

6:0

Oct 14, 2019 Euro U21

Armenia U21 vs Italy U21

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camarda F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Dagasso M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

Armenia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vardanyan E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 95 / 100

Armenia U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Italy U21 Armenia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 4:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U21's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Armenia U21 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Italy U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS Armenia U21

2.88 Goals Scored 0.5

1 Goals Conceded 2.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)

01 Oct

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Italy U21

08 Jun

Italy U21

1 : 0

Albania U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

26 Mar

Italy U21

4 : 0

North Macedonia U21

18 Nov

Montenegro U21

1 : 4

Italy U21

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Armenia U21

(Away)

01 Oct

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Italy U21

31 Mar

Armenia U21

0 : 2

North Macedonia U21

27 Mar

Poland U21

4 : 1

Armenia U21

18 Nov

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Sweden U21

14 Nov

Armenia U21

1 : 2

Montenegro U21

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