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Italy U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hoekstra T.
42'
Tuin A.
62' Event
Ripa C.

AI Match Summary

Netherlands U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Italy U23 W
22%
Draws
60%
Netherlands U23 W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Netherlands U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Netherlands U23 W lately — more wins on the board than Italy U23 W.
  • Model gives Netherlands U23 W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Netherlands U23 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Italy U23 W Clean Sheet 15%
Netherlands U23 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U23 W Netherlands U23 W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs Italy U23 W
2:2
Apr 7, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
0:1
Sep 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
0:3
Apr 6, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
0:2
Oct 25, 2021 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs Italy U23 W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Netherlands U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoekstra T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ripa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U23 W 19 / 100
Netherlands U23 W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U23 W Netherlands U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Italy U23 W scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Netherlands U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Italy U23 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U23 W VS Netherlands U23 W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%