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Italy U23 W vs Sweden U23 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Stadio Risto Il Noce, Noceto
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Beretta B. In: Bartalini V.
Out: Beretta B.
55'
Sub
Duljan E. In: Bergstrom A.
Out: Duljan E.
56'
Sub
Wijk H. In: Akgun N.
Out: Wijk H.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Italy U23 W and Sweden U23 W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Italy U23 W
15%
Draws
45%
Sweden U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden U23 W come out ahead of Italy U23 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sweden U23 W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U23 W Clean Sheet 13%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U23 W Sweden U23 W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Italy U23 W
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
0:1
Sep 25, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Italy U23 W
0:1
Feb 20, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:1
Nov 25, 2021 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U23 W 22 / 100
Sweden U23 W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U23 W Sweden U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U23 W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sweden U23 W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Italy U23 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U23 W VS Sweden U23 W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U23 W

(Home)
16 Apr
Germany U23 W
1 : 0
Italy U23 W
12 Apr
Portugal U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
02 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 3
Italy U23 W
01 Dec
Italy U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
27 Nov
Sweden U23 W
2 : 1
Italy U23 W
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Sweden U23 W

(Away)
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
06 Mar
Romania U23 W
1 : 5
Sweden U23 W
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