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Italy vs Turkey

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Orsolini R.
42'
Sub
Kabak O. In: Demiral M.
Out: Kabak O.
46'
Sub
Chiesa F. In: Zaccagni M.
Out: Chiesa F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Italy
15%
Draws
42%
Turkey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Italy average 1.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Turkey's 1.8.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Italy Clean Sheet 10%
Turkey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy Turkey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.87 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International
Italy vs Turkey
0:0
Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
Turkey vs Italy
2:3
Jun 11, 2021 Euro
Turkey vs Italy
0:3
Nov 15, 2006 Friendly International
Italy vs Turkey
1:1
Nov 20, 2002 Friendly International
Italy vs Turkey
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy 30 / 100
Turkey 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy Turkey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Turkey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Italy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy VS Turkey
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy

(Home)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
03 Jun
Luxembourg
0 : 1
Italy
31 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 : 1
Italy
26 Mar
Italy
2 : 0
Northern Ireland
16 Nov
Italy
1 : 4
Norway
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Turkey

(Away)
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
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