Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itapipoca U20 vs Ceara U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gabriel Amaral
54' Event
Carlos Augusto
83' Event
Pedro Esli

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Itapipoca U20 and Ceara U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceara U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Itapipoca U20
30%
Draws
64%
Ceara U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceara U20 come out ahead of Itapipoca U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ceara U20 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Itapipoca U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca U20 Ceara U20
Matches Played 16 36
Wins 5 25
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.06 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Cearense U20
Itapipoca U20 vs Ceara U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Augusto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Amaral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Esli
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca U20 15 / 100
Ceara U20 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca U20 Ceara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara U20 let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Itapipoca U20 scored in 44% of their last 16 outings.

Itapipoca U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ceara U20
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Itapipoca U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
22 Aug
Itapipoca U20
0 : 3
Floresta EC U20
09 Aug
Ferroviario U20
2 : 0
Itapipoca U20
25 Jul
Itapipoca U20
1 : 2
Ceara U20
29 Jun
Itapipoca U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
Page 1 of 4

Ceara U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)