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Itapipoca vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Marllon

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Itapipoca and Crateus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
39%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Crateus on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Itapipoca's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Crateus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Crateus
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Crateus
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Itapipoca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Marllon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Crateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 51 / 100
Crateus 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapipoca found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Itapipoca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Crateus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Crateus
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 6

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)