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Itapipoca vs Crateus Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Marllon

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Itapipoca and Crateus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
39%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Crateus on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Itapipoca's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Crateus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Crateus
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Crateus
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Itapipoca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Marllon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Crateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 51 / 100
Crateus 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapipoca found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Itapipoca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Crateus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Crateus
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)