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Itapipoca vs Guarany SC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Itapipoca Logo

Itapipoca

3 - 2
FT
Guarany SC Logo

Guarany SC

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Adao
61' Event
Joao Italo
63' Event
Wilkson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itapipoca in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Itapipoca
20%
Draws
42%
Guarany SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarany SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Itapipoca have won more games recently than Guarany SC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Guarany SC
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.57 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Itapipoca
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Guarany SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Adao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Italo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guarany SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 42 / 100
Guarany SC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Guarany SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Itapipoca scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Guarany SC let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Itapipoca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Guarany SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 6

Guarany SC

(Away)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)