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Itapipoca vs Tiradentes

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Valter Julio
55' Event
Alisson
73' Event
Vitor Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Itapipoca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
8%
Tiradentes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Tiradentes on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Itapipoca taking it.
  • Itapipoca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itapipoca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Itapipoca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Tiradentes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Tiradentes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.53 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2025 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Itapipoca
1:2
Feb 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
1:0
Apr 10, 2024 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
3:2
Apr 7, 2024 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Itapipoca
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Valter Julio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tiradentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Alisson
1 Goals
Assists Leader David
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 95 / 100
Tiradentes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Tiradentes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiradentes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Itapipoca's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Itapipoca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
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Tiradentes

(Away)
23 Mar
Atletico Cearense
2 : 2
Tiradentes
17 Mar
Tiradentes
1 : 2
Itapipoca
13 Mar
Tiradentes
0 : 4
Maranguape
10 Mar
Tiradentes
2 : 4
Caucaia
21 Feb
Tiradentes
1 : 3
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tirol -
TBD -
Itapipoca 5
Tiradentes 3
Icasa -
TBD -
Cariri FC 2
Guarani de Juazeiro 1
Semi-finals
Tirol 6
Itapipoca 4
Icasa 1
Cariri FC 2
Final
Tirol 3
Cariri FC 0