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Stadium Background

Itapirense U20 vs America SP U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Neves M.
16' Event
Mendonca Y.
40' Event
Mendonca Y.

AI Match Summary

Itapirense U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itapirense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Itapirense U20
17%
Draws
13%
America SP U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Itapirense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • America SP U20 haven't matched Itapirense U20's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Itapirense U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Itapirense U20 Clean Sheet 19%
America SP U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapirense U20 America SP U20
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 9 1
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Paulista U20
Itapirense U20 vs America SP U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapirense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendonca Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

America SP U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Neves M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arthur
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapirense U20 67 / 100
America SP U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapirense U20 America SP U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Itapirense U20 scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

America SP U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

America SP U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapirense U20 VS America SP U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapirense U20

(Home)
17 Jul
Itapirense U20
3 : 2
America SP U20
11 Jul
Sertaozinho U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
03 Jul
Jabaquara U20
1 : 0
Itapirense U20
26 Jun
Itapirense U20
5 : 3
Portuguesa Santista U20
11 Jun
Portuguesa U20
3 : 0
Itapirense U20
Page 1 of 7

America SP U20

(Away)
17 Jul
Itapirense U20
3 : 2
America SP U20
09 Jul
America SP U20
1 : 0
Jabaquara U20
03 Jul
Sao Bento U20
2 : 0
America SP U20
25 Jun
America SP U20
0 : 1
Ponte Preta U20
12 Jun
Ferroviaria U20
4 : 0
America SP U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians U20761017:119
2CA Juventus U20751119:816
3Santos U20742113:314
4Ferroviaria U20742112:414
5Portuguesa U20741211:713
6Sertaozinho U2073226:611
7Ponte Preta U2073138:1310
8Sao Bento U20722310:98
9Portuguesa Santista U20722311:148
10Jabaquara U2072143:77
11Itapirense U2072059:176
12Uniao Suzano U2071154:174
13Mirassol U2070437:124
14America SP U2071063:153
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20770024:421
2Desportivo U2085129:516
3Sao Paulo U20743011:215
4Osasco Sporting U20741210:813
5Paulinense U2083329:812
6Piracicaba U2072418:610
7Santo Andre U20722310:108
8Bandeirante U2082247:128
9Aguai U2082249:178
10Sao Caetano U2082159:147
11Novorizontino U2071429:87
12Uniao Sao Joao U2081436:87
13EC Sao Bernardo U2071336:126
14Botafogo SP U2070528:115
15Velo Clube U2080534:145
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20770025:621
2Guarani U20760114:618
3Agua Santa U20843114:715
4Palmeiras U20742112:614
5Sfera U20840417:712
6Gremio Prudente U20732210:911
7Osasco Audax U2083238:911
8Flamengo SP U2083148:1410
9Capivariano U2072419:810
10XV de Jau U2072236:148
11Ituano U2071517:98
12Maua FC U2081346:146
13Tanabi U2081257:155
14Referencia U2071155:134
15Porto Football U2080171:121
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)