Sport Picks
Itapirense vs Botafogo SP B Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Copa Paulista 2025 
Match Events
23'
23'
David Braw
45'
45'
Gabriel Amaral
62'
62'
Tortello
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Botafogo SP B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo SP B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botafogo SP B carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Botafogo SP B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Botafogo SP B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 16%
Botafogo SP B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itapirense | Botafogo SP B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2025 Copa Paulista
Itapirense vs Botafogo SP B
0:3
Jul 9, 2025 Copa Paulista
Botafogo SP B vs Itapirense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itapirense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Botafogo SP B Compare
Top Goalscorer David Braw
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Amaral
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Itapirense 31 / 100
Botafogo SP B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Itapirense Botafogo SP B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botafogo SP B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Itapirense scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Botafogo SP B let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Botafogo SP B lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Itapirense VS Botafogo SP B
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Itapirense
(Home) 21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1 Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0 Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2 Itapirense
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3 EC Sao Bernardo
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2 Itapirense
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1 Rio Preto EC
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3 EC Sao Bernardo
01 Mar
Itapirense
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
26 Feb
Itapirense
1 : 1 Rio Claro
15 Feb
Itapirense
1 : 2 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 3
Botafogo SP B
(Away) 16 Aug
Botafogo SP B
0 : 1 Francana
09 Aug
Itapirense
0 : 3 Botafogo SP B
06 Aug
Botafogo SP B
0 : 2 Comercial
30 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2 Botafogo SP B
23 Jul
Botafogo SP B
1 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Itapirense
0 : 3 Botafogo SP B
30 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2 Botafogo SP B
16 Jul
Francana
0 : 0 Botafogo SP B
02 Jul
Comercial
1 : 0 Botafogo SP B
18 Jun
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 0 Botafogo SP B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
