Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Salomao
11'
11'
Gustavinho
30'
30'
Gustavinho
AI Match Summary
Itaqua in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itaqua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itaqua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maua FC have won more games recently than Itaqua.
- Model gives Itaqua a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 16%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itaqua | Maua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Maua FC
5:1
May 9, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Itaqua
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itaqua Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavinho
2 Goals Assists Leader Salomao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Maua FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocha P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Itaqua 75 / 100
Maua FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Itaqua Maua FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Itaqua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Itaqua scored in 94% of their last 16 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Maua FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Itaqua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Itaqua VS Maua FC
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Itaqua
(Home) 02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0 Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 4
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0 Paulinia FU
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1 Maua FC
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0 Barcelona SP
Page 1 of 2
Maua FC
(Away) 04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3 Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3 Maua FC
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0 Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1 Maua FC
06 Jun
Maua FC
0 : 0 Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3 Maua FC
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1 Maua FC
23 May
Manthiqueira
4 : 2 Maua FC
16 May
Barcelona SP
1 : 2 Maua FC
03 May
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3 Maua FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
