Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itaqua vs Uniao Mogi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Itaqua play Uniao Mogi in the Paulista B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Itaqua averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Uniao Mogi averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Itaqua won 1, Uniao Mogi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Itaqua and 1.00 for Uniao Mogi. This points to a Itaqua double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Itaqua
11%
Draws
9%
Uniao Mogi
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Itaqua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Itaqua has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Uniao Mogi.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Itaqua.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista B provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaqua Uniao Mogi
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Itaqua
2:1
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Uniao Mogi
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itaqua Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Varjao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Uniao Mogi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenzo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaqua 76 / 100
Uniao Mogi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaqua Uniao Mogi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaqua scored in 100% of their last 12 games.

Uniao Mogi let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Itaqua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Mogi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itaqua VS Uniao Mogi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260