Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Gustavinho
45'
45'
Gustavinho
50'
50'
Guilherme Varjao
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Itaqua in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itaqua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itaqua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Uniao Mogi haven't matched Itaqua's recent run of results.
- Model gives Itaqua a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Itaqua have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itaqua | Uniao Mogi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 16 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 2 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Uniao Mogi
1:0
Jul 11, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Itaqua
1:4
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Itaqua
2:1
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Uniao Mogi
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itaqua Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavinho
2 Goals Assists Leader Guilherme Varjao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Uniao Mogi Compare
Top Goalscorer Kenzo R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Itaqua 76 / 100
Uniao Mogi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Itaqua Uniao Mogi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Itaqua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Itaqua scored in 94% of their last 16 outings.
Uniao Mogi has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Itaqua stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Itaqua VS Uniao Mogi
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Itaqua
(Home) 02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0 Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 4
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0 Paulinia FU
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1 Maua FC
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0 Barcelona SP
Page 1 of 2
Uniao Mogi
(Away) 18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3 Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3 Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1 Itaqua
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3 Uniao Mogi
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1 Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Maua FC
0 : 0 Uniao Mogi
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3 Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
