Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itaquaquecetuba U20 vs Uniao Mogi U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha Estadio Ildeu Silvestre do Carmo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Itaquaquecetuba U20 play Uniao Mogi U20 in the Copinha. Itaquaquecetuba U20 are favorites here. Recently, Itaquaquecetuba U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Uniao Mogi U20 averaged 0.53 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Itaquaquecetuba U20 won 1, Uniao Mogi U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 13, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.21 for Itaquaquecetuba U20 and 0.46 for Uniao Mogi U20. This points to a Itaquaquecetuba U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Itaquaquecetuba U20
19%
Draws
10%
Uniao Mogi U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Itaquaquecetuba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Itaquaquecetuba U20 picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Mogi U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.21 vs 0.46 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Itaquaquecetuba U20 Clean Sheet 31%
Uniao Mogi U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaquaquecetuba U20 Uniao Mogi U20
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 1 6
Losses 1 21
Goals Scored 1.17 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Copinha
Itaquaquecetuba U20 vs Uniao Mogi U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itaquaquecetuba U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salomao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Uniao Mogi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenzo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaquaquecetuba U20 70 / 100
Uniao Mogi U20 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaquaquecetuba U20 Uniao Mogi U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itaquaquecetuba U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Itaquaquecetuba U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Itaquaquecetuba U20 attacking → ← attacking Uniao Mogi U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaquaquecetuba U20 scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Uniao Mogi U20 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Itaquaquecetuba U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Mogi U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 15
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25