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Itarema vs Terra e Mar Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Levi
32' Event
Pablo
35' Event
Gil
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2024 game between Itarema and Terra e Mar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Terra e Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Itarema
15%
Draws
85%
Terra e Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Terra e Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Itarema haven't matched Terra e Mar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Terra e Mar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Itarema Clean Sheet 10%
Terra e Mar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itarema Terra e Mar
Matches Played 6 8
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2024 Cearense 3
Itarema vs Terra e Mar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itarema Compare

Top Goalscorer Levi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Terra e Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itarema 10 / 100
Terra e Mar 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itarema Terra e Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Terra e Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terra e Mar has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Terra e Mar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Itarema's goal record stands at 17% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Itarema VS Terra e Mar
0.17 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itarema

(Home)
20 Jul
Crato
6 : 0
Itarema
15 Jul
Itarema
0 : 2
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
30 Jun
Esporte Limoeiro
2 : 0
Itarema
23 Jun
Itarema
0 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 2

Terra e Mar

(Away)
11 Aug
Quixada
1 : 0
Terra e Mar
03 Aug
Terra e Mar
0 : 5
Quixada
28 Jul
Terra e Mar
4 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
20 Jul
Terra e Mar
2 : 4
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)