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Ittihad Gharyan vs Al Ittihad Misurata

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ittihad Gharyan and Al Ittihad Misurata finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ittihad Gharyan
39%
Draws
30%
Al Ittihad Misurata
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ittihad Gharyan haven't matched Al Ittihad Misurata's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 19%
Al Ittihad Misurata Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Gharyan Al Ittihad Misurata
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Misurata vs Ittihad Gharyan
2:0
Jan 1, 2026 Premier League
Ittihad Gharyan vs Al Ittihad Misurata
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Gharyan 32 / 100
Al Ittihad Misurata 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Gharyan Al Ittihad Misurata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Misurata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Ittihad Misurata lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Ittihad Gharyan scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Gharyan VS Al Ittihad Misurata
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Gharyan

(Home)
26 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 0
Ittihad Gharyan
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1
Al Shomooa
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1
Ittihad Gharyan
16 Mar
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Majd
Page 1 of 4

Al Ittihad Misurata

(Away)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
0 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
06 May
Asswehly
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)