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Ittihad Kalba vs Al Sharjah

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ittihad Kalba play Al Sharjah in the UAE League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ittihad Kalba averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Al Sharjah averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Ittihad Kalba won 1, Al Sharjah won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Ittihad Kalba and 1.69 for Al Sharjah. This points to a Al Sharjah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ittihad Kalba
24%
Draws
39%
Al Sharjah
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Al Sharjah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ittihad Kalba picked up more points recently compared to Al Sharjah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 13%
Al Sharjah Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Kalba Al Sharjah
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Sharjah
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Ittihad Kalba
3:1
Feb 6, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Sharjah
2:1
Aug 29, 2024 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Ittihad Kalba
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Ittihad Kalba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghoddos S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Sharjah Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Kalba 36 / 100
Al Sharjah 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Kalba Al Sharjah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Sharjah or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ittihad Kalba attacking → ← attacking Al Sharjah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Sharjah let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ittihad Kalba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Sharjah lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 33
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520