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Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Kalba
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Saleh A.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Gimenez N.
Assist: Andrade S.
46'
Sub
Juninho In: Salmeen A.
Out: Juninho

AI Match Summary

The UAE League game between Ittihad Kalba and Al Wasl finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Wasl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ittihad Kalba
20%
Draws
47%
Al Wasl
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Wasl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Wasl come out ahead of Ittihad Kalba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Wasl a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Kalba Al Wasl
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 League Cup
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
4:0
Aug 21, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl
0:3
May 15, 2026 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
2:1
Jan 7, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl
2:2
Jan 30, 2025 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Wasl Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renato Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
Al Wasl 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Kalba Al Wasl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wasl Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ittihad Kalba scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Wasl conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Ittihad Kalba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Kalba VS Al Wasl
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Kalba

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
Page 1 of 6

Al Wasl

(Away)
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2
Al Wasl
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)