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Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Kalba
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Neto
37' Event
Ghoddos S.
Assist: Fahad M.
46'
Sub
Traore O. In: Pavlov P.
Out: Traore O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ittihad Kalba
20%
Draws
10%
Khorfakkan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ittihad Kalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khorfakkan come out ahead of Ittihad Kalba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ittihad Kalba a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Khorfakkan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Khorfakkan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 16%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Kalba Khorfakkan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Cup
Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan
2:1
May 5, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Presidents Cup
Khorfakkan vs Ittihad Kalba
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Ittihad Kalba
2:4
Feb 22, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghoddos S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nourollahi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Boa Morte A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Kalba 39 / 100
Khorfakkan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Kalba Khorfakkan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ittihad Kalba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Khorfakkan let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Ittihad Kalba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Kalba VS Khorfakkan
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Kalba

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
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Khorfakkan

(Away)
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2
Al Wasl
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2
Al Jazira
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Ajman 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Al Nasr 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Bani Yas 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Al Sharjah 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Ittihad Kalba 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
9 Al Wahda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 United FC 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
11 Al Ain 3 0 1 2 6:8 1
12 Hatta 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
13 Khorfakkan 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
14 Al Dhafra 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)