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Ittihad Khemisset vs Chabab Mohammedia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ittihad Khemisset host Chabab Mohammedia in the Botola 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chabab Mohammedia have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Ittihad Khemisset have conceded 1.07 and scored 0.64. Head-to-head, Ittihad Khemisset have won 2 to Chabab Mohammedia's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2020, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 0.69) point toward Ittihad Khemisset. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ittihad Khemisset
20%
Draws
29%
Chabab Mohammedia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ittihad Khemisset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ittihad Khemisset come out ahead of Chabab Mohammedia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ittihad Khemisset's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ittihad Khemisset Clean Sheet 20%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Khemisset Chabab Mohammedia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.64 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2020 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Ittihad Khemisset
2:2
Nov 9, 2019 Botola 2
Ittihad Khemisset vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
Feb 20, 2011 Botola 2
Ittihad Khemisset vs Chabab Mohammedia
1:0
Oct 17, 2010 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Ittihad Khemisset
1:2
Jan 10, 2009 Botola Pro
Chabab Mohammedia vs Ittihad Khemisset
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Khemisset 67 / 100
Chabab Mohammedia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Khemisset Chabab Mohammedia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ittihad Khemisset Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chabab Mohammedia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ittihad Khemisset remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ittihad Khemisset scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Khemisset VS Chabab Mohammedia
0.83 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Khemisset

(Home)
18 Oct
Olympique de Safi
1 : 0
Ittihad Khemisset
10 Oct
Ittihad Khemisset
2 : 1
Olympique Khouribga
03 Oct
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Ittihad Khemisset
27 Sept
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 2
Ittihad Khemisset
28 Mar
Ittihad Khemisset
0 : 1
Moghreb Tetouan
Page 1 of 6

Chabab Mohammedia

(Away)
18 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
1 : 1
Olympique Khouribga
11 Oct
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 1
Chabab Mohammedia
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
2 Wydad Fes 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Dcheira 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
6 Stade Marocain 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
8 Olympique Khouribga 5 1 2 2 7:5 5
9 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
10 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 KAC Kenitra 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
13 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
14 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
15 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)