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Ittihad Khemisset vs Mouloudia Oujda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ittihad Khemisset host Mouloudia Oujda in the Botola 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ittihad Khemisset have averaged 0.62 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Mouloudia Oujda's 1.2 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Mouloudia Oujda slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2018, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.68) back Mouloudia Oujda to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ittihad Khemisset
30%
Draws
28%
Mouloudia Oujda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ittihad Khemisset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mouloudia Oujda haven't matched Ittihad Khemisset's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ittihad Khemisset Clean Sheet 20%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Khemisset Mouloudia Oujda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 15
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.62 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset
2:1
Dec 24, 2017 Botola 2
Ittihad Khemisset vs Mouloudia Oujda
2:2
Apr 9, 2017 Botola 2
Ittihad Khemisset vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:0
Nov 13, 2016 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset
3:0
Apr 26, 2014 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Khemisset 31 / 100
Mouloudia Oujda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Khemisset Mouloudia Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ittihad Khemisset Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mouloudia Oujda conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ittihad Khemisset has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ittihad Khemisset scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Khemisset VS Mouloudia Oujda
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Khemisset

(Home)
18 Oct
Olympique de Safi
1 : 0
Ittihad Khemisset
10 Oct
Ittihad Khemisset
2 : 1
Olympique Khouribga
03 Oct
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Ittihad Khemisset
27 Sept
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 2
Ittihad Khemisset
28 Mar
Ittihad Khemisset
0 : 1
Moghreb Tetouan
Page 1 of 6

Mouloudia Oujda

(Away)
17 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 2
Chabab Benguerir
11 Oct
Jeunesse Massira
2 : 2
Mouloudia Oujda
03 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
Dcheira
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Dcheira 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Wydad Fes 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
6 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
7 Stade Marocain 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Olympique Khouribga 4 1 1 2 6:4 4
11 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
12 KAC Kenitra 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
14 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
15 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)