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Ituano U20 vs Flamengo SP U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
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Match Events

34' Event
81' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Ituano U20 and Flamengo SP U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ituano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ituano U20
15%
Draws
51%
Flamengo SP U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo SP U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo SP U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Flamengo SP U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano U20 Flamengo SP U20
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 12 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.81 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Paulista U20
Ituano U20 vs Flamengo SP U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano U20 36 / 100
Flamengo SP U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano U20 Flamengo SP U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo SP U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ituano U20 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Flamengo SP U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Flamengo SP U20 conceded in 55% of 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ituano U20 VS Flamengo SP U20
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 7

Flamengo SP U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
21 Aug
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Capivariano U20
14 Aug
Tanabi U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)